Latest Lease Extension Tribunal Outcomes

Headline statistics from the analysed tribunal dataset. Figures update as new decisions are added.

A rolling view of recently analysed First-tier Tribunal lease extension decisions.

Placeholder cases shown. Real First-tier Tribunal decisions will populate this list as the dataset expands.

Recurring themes observed across recently analysed tribunal outcomes. For deeper analysis on specific patterns, see our research on lease extension cost by years remaining, premiums below 80 years and the London borough analysis. To put your own figure in context, you can benchmark your quote against comparable cases.

• Premiums increasing for shorter leases

  Tribunal outcomes consistently show that as the unexpired term reduces, premiums rise non-linearly — with the steepest movement around the 80-year threshold.

• Marriage value disputes

  Where leases fall below 80 years, marriage value is a frequent point of contention, with relativity assumptions driving much of the gap between parties.

• Ground rent trends

  Tribunals continue to scrutinise ground rent capitalisation, especially where rent review clauses or doubling provisions affect the freeholder's interest.

• Regional differences

  Premiums vary significantly between prime central London and outer boroughs, reflecting underlying values and the comparable evidence each tribunal weighs.

• Negotiation themes

  Many cases settle close to the midpoint of the parties' valuations — reinforcing the value of benchmarking quotes against comparable tribunal outcomes early.

Filter the tribunal dataset by borough, postcode, lease length, premium range and decision year. Interactive filtering is coming soon.